silkywhisky
Caol Ila / Islay

CAOL ILA Moch

0.61× hidden gem NAS rating 4.7/5 · n=56
cheapest
€45.25
topdrinks
intrinsic
€86.92
N
4

Is it worth the price?

CAOL ILA Moch is an Islay single malt Scotch from the Caol Ila distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.7 out of 5 across 56 reviews. It is tracked at 4 retailers, ranging from €45.25 to €86.48, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €86.92. That is 0.61× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. It is one of 12 Caol Ila bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €45.25
whiskylodge €47.50
whisky.fr €59.00
thewhiskyshop €86.48

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.73 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Islay
Distillery tier
Mid
Result
Predicted price
€86.92
Actual price (median)
€53.25
Multiple
0.61×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.05
Cost floor
€17.56

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    large-volume Islay production; standard methods
    0 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    43.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    1 / 3
  • Ownership
    Diageo — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1846 (180 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.7321/5 across 56 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
6 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.50
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€26.33
Actual price (median)
€53.25
Multiple
2.02×
Verdict band
brand premium

The two models disagree sharply here. The deal-score regression learns from peer prices that age and brand command €86.92 (0.61× the listed price), while the cost-and-quality methodology floors the bottle at €26.33 (2.02×). The gap is the brand premium the market pays beyond what materials, maturation and bottling integrity alone can justify.

Maturation context

Islay · rolling 12 months: 1,550 mm at Lingerton (46 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,543 mm, +39.90% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Caol Ila