silkywhisky
Ardbeg / Islay

ARDBEG 10 Years Old Ten

0.65× hidden gem 10yo rating 4.7/5 · n=188
cheapest
€45.00
whiskylodge
intrinsic
€79.95
N
3

Is it worth the price?

ARDBEG 10 Years Old Ten is an Islay single malt Scotch from the Ardbeg distillery, bottled at 10 years old. Tasters score it 4.7 out of 5 across 188 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €45.00 to €52.90, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €79.95. That is 0.65× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. It is one of 12 Ardbeg bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whiskylodge €45.00
Système U €52.19
whisky.fr €52.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.70 / 5
Age
10yo
Region
Islay
Distillery tier
Premium
Result
Predicted price
€79.95
Actual price (median)
€52.19
Multiple
0.65×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (10 × €1.20/year)
€16.69
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.10
Cost floor
€32.22
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    heavily peated tradition; dunnage warehousing; closed 1981-1989
    1 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    46.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    LVMH (via Glenmorangie) — prestige-corporate
    0 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1815 (211 years of operation); closed 1981-1989
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.6968/5 across 188 reviews
    3 / 3
Quality score
8 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.67
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€53.70
Actual price (median)
€52.19
Multiple
0.97×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Islay · rolling 12 months: 1,867 mm at Dippen (39 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,524 mm, +43.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Ardbeg