silkywhisky
Ardbeg / Islay

ARDBEG Smokiverse

1.08× fair value NAS rating 4.1/5 · n=7
cheapest
€104.95
topdrinks
intrinsic
€105.17
N
4

Is it worth the price?

ARDBEG Smokiverse is an Islay single malt Scotch from the Ardbeg distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.1 out of 5 across 7 reviews. It is tracked at 4 retailers, ranging from €104.95 to €119.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €105.17. That is 1.08× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. It is one of 12 Ardbeg bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €104.95
thewhiskyshop €107.82
whisky.fr €119.00
whiskylodge €119.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.14 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Islay
Distillery tier
Premium
Result
Predicted price
€105.17
Actual price (median)
€113.41
Multiple
1.08×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.20
Cost floor
€23.42

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    heavily peated tradition; dunnage warehousing; closed 1981-1989
    1 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    48.3% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    LVMH (via Glenmorangie) — prestige-corporate
    0 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1815 (211 years of operation); closed 1981-1989
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.1429/5 across 7 reviews
    3 / 3
Quality score
8 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.67
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€39.04
Actual price (median)
€113.41
Multiple
2.91×
Verdict band
brand premium

Maturation context

Islay · rolling 12 months: 1,867 mm at Dippen (39 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,524 mm, +43.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Ardbeg